Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000091 0.000101 0.000111 0.000123 0.000136 0.000151 0.000167
2026-01-25 0.000076 0.000089 0.000104 0.000122 0.000143 0.000168 0.000198
2026-02-01 0.000066 0.000081 0.000099 0.000122 0.000151 0.000185 0.000230
2026-02-08 0.000057 0.000073 0.000094 0.000120 0.000155 0.000199 0.000260
2026-02-15 0.000051 0.000068 0.000089 0.000120 0.000161 0.000215 0.000292
2026-02-22 0.000046 0.000063 0.000086 0.000120 0.000167 0.000231 0.000326
2026-03-01 0.000041 0.000059 0.000083 0.000118 0.000171 0.000244 0.000358
2026-03-08 0.000038 0.000056 0.000081 0.000120 0.000178 0.000263 0.000398
2026-03-15 0.000035 0.000053 0.000079 0.000120 0.000183 0.000279 0.000436
2026-03-22 0.000032 0.000050 0.000076 0.000119 0.000187 0.000293 0.000471
2026-03-29 0.000031 0.000048 0.000076 0.000121 0.000195 0.000314 0.000520
2026-04-05 0.000029 0.000046 0.000074 0.000121 0.000201 0.000330 0.000562
2026-04-12 0.000027 0.000044 0.000072 0.000121 0.000205 0.000346 0.000606
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000042 0.000070 0.000120 0.000209 0.000361 0.000649
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000040 0.000068 0.000120 0.000214 0.000379 0.000699
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000038 0.000066 0.000119 0.000216 0.000391 0.000740
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000036 0.000064 0.000118 0.000219 0.000407 0.000788
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000035 0.000063 0.000118 0.000224 0.000425 0.000844
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000033 0.000061 0.000117 0.000226 0.000438 0.000890
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000118 0.000233 0.000461 0.000959
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000031 0.000060 0.000118 0.000238 0.000481 0.001023
2026-06-14 0.000015 0.000030 0.000058 0.000117 0.000241 0.000496 0.001078
2026-06-21 0.000015 0.000030 0.000058 0.000119 0.000250 0.000524 0.001164